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Trump to lose in November

Trump promisesI am calling the November presidential election for the Democrats, on the assumption that Donald Trump is on the ticket on November 3.  Before anyone accuses me of making an obvious prediction, the current consensus is that Trump’s chances of winning are 50%.  If you’re a liberal you probably think that Trump is definitely going to lose, but that’s what you said in 2016.

In terms of my own prejudices, I am not an American citizen, but I live in the US.  I take the view that in terms of foreign policy there is an argument for supporting Trump over his Democrat opponents.  It was the Democrats and Hillary Clinton who further wrecked the Middle East, with their over-optimistic assessment of the Arab Spring.  Also, the Democrats’ attempts to interfere in the Ukraine were counterproductive. I believe that if we want a safe world, we need to respect Russia’s legitimate security needs.

Yet from an ethical perspective it is difficult to support Trump.  He is an environmental nightmare, and he seems to relish the anger that his environment-destroying policies cause.

Indeed, from a clinical perspective, his polices have a touch of oppositional defiant disorder (ODD).  The American Psychiatric Association’s Diagnostic and Statisical Manual, Fifth Edition, has some guideliness on the diagnosis of ODD.  It gives eight categories, of which four have to be matched (p.462).  For example:

Often actively defies or refuses to comply with requests from authority figures or with rules.

Often deliberately annoys others.

Often blames others others for his or her mistakes or misbehavior.

Has been spiteful or vindictive at least twice within the past 6 months.

Trump is also doing his best to dismantle Obamacare.  While the Affordable Care Act might not be perfect, and it would be preferable if there was a single payer system, it is better than nothing.  So on balance I hope that Trump loses in November.

This is the subjectivity I bring to the question.  I then have to ask the question:

“Will Donald Trump get re-elected to the White House in November?”

I asked the question on May 6 2020, at 4:40 pm, in Lakewood, Washington State. Here’s the chart, using Regiomontanus cusps:

Will Trump win in November?

When looking at this kind of horary, one first looks at the querent.  That’s me, the astrologer.  Libra is rising, and I am therefore represented by Venus in Gemini in the Ninth House, in mutual reception to Mercury in Taurus.  I am the foreigner, and I am also strongly placed.  Furthermore, I am in the same sign as the North Node.  So I am not going to be hurt by the question, and my reputation is not going to suffer.

Then we have Donald Trump.  He is President of the United States, which means that he is ruler of the Tenth House.  Cancer is on the Tenth House cusp, so the primary ruler is the Moon in Scorpio in the Second House.  We might ,also consider Jupiter in Capricorn in the Fourth, because Jupiter is exalted in Cancer.  Trump’s opponents are represent by the ruler of the Fourth, which is Saturn in Aquarius.

The Moon is in a terrible position.  It is in Scorpio, the sign of its fall, and it is moving towards an opposition with the Sun – in other words, the question was asked just before a Full Moon.  Furthermore, the Moon is in the Via Combusta.  This is the flaming path, between 15 Libra and 15 Scorpio.  When the Moon is in the Via Combusta, things don’t go to plan, and there can be shocking events that change everything.  So something is likely to happen in the election campaign that no-one is expecting.

It is also important that the Moon is in the Second House.  This is the house of a nation’s finances, and relates to the US economy.  This is Trump’s concern.  Yet the Moon is moving to an opposition of the Sun in the Eighth House – this is the house of death, of national mortality and death statistics.  The Moon is at 10 25 Scorpio and the Sun is at 16 53 Taurus – in other words there is a six and a half degree separation between the two.  If one degree is one month, that takes us through to late November.  I know the election, on November 3, is just under six months away, timed from May 6, but it’s good enough.

So on the basis of Trump being the Moon, the picture doesn’t look good.  We could also take Trump as being Jupiter in Capricorn.  This makes sense, because traditionally Jupiter is the planet associated with the Republicans, while Saturn is associated with the Democrats.  Jupiter is fallen in Capricorn, and is in a sign ruled by Saturn.  And if we take the Tenth House as Trump, and the Fourth House as his opponents, then Jupiter in the Fourth means that Trump is “owned” by his enemies.

There are a few problems with the chart.  The Moon in the Via Combusta can mess with the result, though by the time it makes the opposition with the Sun it has moved out of this region.  Also, the planetary hour is the Moon, which does not accord with the Libra ascendant.  However, it is a minor stricture against judgement, and I predict that on the evening of January 20 2021, Donald Trump won’t be US President.  I am NOT making an predictions about who will be inaugurated in his place, because I didn’t ask about anyone else.

{ 6 comments… add one }
  • Jas May 11, 2020, 8:40 am

    Do you think there’s a chance of the election being called off?

    • Archie Dunlop May 12, 2020, 6:21 am

      Jas, I think there is no chance. I know that elections were cancelled in the UK during the Second World War, but not in the US – there was a Presidential Election in 1944. No, I think elections are too much part of the US’s democratic fabric.

  • Ivelina May 18, 2020, 7:51 pm

    And what would you say if Trump was shown in the seventh house. Aries. Because you called him by name, not as President ?! Then Mars is in his eleventh house, Aquarius. Weak in house, weak in sign.
    Your reasoning about the moon remains the same because it is a cosignifier of the question.

  • Archie Dunlop May 18, 2020, 8:29 pm

    I get your point about Mars, especially as on balance I want Trump to lose. Also, Trump is Mars, Venus is his opponent, and Venus is stronger than Mars (e.g. mutural reception with Mercury). On the other hand, Venus hardly describes Biden. Though, I believe this election is very much about women, and we know that Biden’s VP pick will be a woman – because he has said so. However, I do believer that Trump is the 10th, because he is the President. One point about Mars. It is peregrine, if you use the Egyptian terms. Using Chaldean terms it has dignity. Very recently I have stopped using the Chaldean terms.

  • Ian Savage May 26, 2020, 8:47 am

    Hi Archie, I am not sure about Trump the world In financial meltdown may swing it for an incumbent, but I believe it is Elizabeth Warren who is seen as the opposition to him. Both men are incapacitated in some way or something goes wrong, possibly cyber action or voting irregularities in any event Trump carrying on with a female by his side?

    • Archie Dunlop May 26, 2020, 4:09 pm

      Clearly Biden’s VP picking is important. I don’t think Elizabeth Warren is the right person. I think there may be strong pressure on him to have an African American VP. Val Demings might be his best choice.

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