As regular visitors to this site will know, I’ve consistently predicted that Obama will lose the November election. There have been a number of reasons for my prediction, but fundamentally, I believe that he and his supporters are out of synch with the times. And because I’m not a journalist or a weather forecaster, I’m not going to change my prediction just because all rational indicators suggest that I’m going to be massively wrong.
However if I am wrong, and Obama does become president, then one has to be aware of the consequences. After a short honeymoon period, Obama will be a major disappointment, at least in his first term. If he has a second term, many of his supporters will feel betrayed – Obama, having learnt the ropes and got the experience, will be more of a Richard Nixon than a Jimmy Carter.
When trying to understand American politics, it’s essential to look at the twenty-year Jupiter-Saturn cycle. Every twenty years there’s a conjunction between these planets, and it’s a new beginning. Then ten years later the planets are opposition each other, and the cycle goes into crisis.
In the year 2000 there was a Jupiter-Saturn conjunction. It should have been a brand new beginning, a start of something positive. Yet nothing is guaranteed, and in that year George Bush Junior was elected US president. That presidency has dominated the decade, but now, in 2008, the cycle that started in 2000 is moving into crisis. It’s a crisis that will ebb and flow, but it will hit maximum intensity in 2010 and 2011, and for ordinary people the worst point won’t be until 2012.
So, what does this say about Barack Obama? The George Bush Express began its journey in 2000. George Bush the driver gets off in January 2009, but the train can’t be stopped until 2012 at the earliest. This means that if Obama becomes president, he’s a lame duck before he’s even reached the White House. His big hopes and his big programs won’t come to anything, because he’ll just be responding to the legacy of his predecessor. Not just in terms of the domestic economy, but also in terms of foreign policy. Indeed, having looked at Obama’s horoscope, I believe that more US troops will die in combat under his presidency than under a McCain one.
It follows that Obama will increasingly get the blame for the mistakes of his predecessor, and when the train finally goes off the rails, in 2010 or 2011, it’ll be the current driver that’s vilified, not the old one.
Matters are made worse by the fact that very soon Obama will lose his luck. At the moment, according to his Indian horoscope, he’s going through a lucky phase. In late March 2009 this comes to an end, and he starts a very difficult period, lasting until July 2012. This is a period when few things are going to go right, with the eleven months between March 2009 and February 2010 being particularly dangerous. At this stage in his life, Obama should be involved in quiet contemplation, not leading the free world.
I’m not going to predict whether or not Obama will get a second term. But if he does get re-elected in 2012, his first and second terms will be very different from each other. The first term will be a disappointment, and I doubt Obama will be his own boss – it’ll be the people around him who make most of the decisions. And, with his luck coming to an end, he might find it difficult to engage with his job. It would also be inadvisable for him to make uncontrolled public appearances, and he should avoid unnecessary travelling.
If Obama does get a second term, it’ll be much more successful than his first. It would also be a rarity – in American history, presidents elected in the immediate run up to the Jupiter-Saturn opposition don’t usually have a follow-on term. Yet I can think of two presidents that have managed it – Andrew Jackson (elected in 1828 and 1832) and Richard Nixon (1968 and 1972).
Both Andrew Jackson and Richard Nixon were tough players with an autocratic streak. They certainly weren’t weak-willed liberals, and as far as the American constitution allowed, they ruled with an iron fist. So if Obama gets re-elected in 2012, he’ll finally get the hang of the job, and he’ll be able to step out of the shadow of his patrons, advisors and supporters. But this is jumping the gun – Obama’s first term will be so bad, that I think, on balance, he’ll be paving the way for a Republican, rightwing populist. And it might not be Sarah Palin! This new president could set America’s course for a whole generation, and he or she will be the stuff of Democrat nightmares.
I know, I’m whistling in the wind. Everyone loves Obama. But any American of a Democratic and progressive disposition should think very carefully before they vote for Obama. From an astrological point of view, his first term will be a train wreck, through no fault of his own. In the process all the positive programs that he wants to bring into being will come to nothing. Worse still, they might be discredited – because they’ve been brought into the open too early.
Given these circumstances, wouldn’t it be better for John McCain to be elected president in November? Let him drive the train, let him get the blame for the inevitable accident. That way the dream that Obama represents will remain intact, and it won’t be destroyed by the carnage of the next few years. Then in 2012 he can have another shot at the Presidency – or at least be someone else’s running mate. His horoscope will be in much better shape, and the wider astrological picture will be more friendly to a progressive agenda.